Article

2 Sep 2024

The 2024 Reporting Season: 8 Key Insights

As we wrap up the August 2024 reporting season, several key trends and economic conditions have emerged across various sectors, reflecting the diverse pressures and opportunities currently influencing the Australian market.

Real Estate & Housing:

-The housing market continues to face significant supply constraints, driving up prices and limiting new developments.

Key Stock Insights:

-REA Group (REA): Listing volumes are improving, supported by strong market demand.

-Mirvac (MGR): Housing supply remains incredibly restricted, highlighting ongoing challenges.

-Stockland (SGP): New home enquiry levels are stable, with signs of potential growth despite broader market challenges.
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Article

12 Aug 2024

News Corp (NWS) – An Outsider With An Outsized Opportunity

What makes a successful leader? More importantly, what defines an exceptional leader?

In this note, Portfolio Manager Ray David discusses some traits of quality leadership such as capital allocation, cash flow, decentralized management, and the ability to make contrarian decisions to driver shareholder value creation.

Ray also draws parallels to Bill Anders’s turnaround of General Dynamics in 1991, and how a similar transformation is occurring at NewsCorp Inc led by CEO Robert Thomson.

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Article

30 Jul 2024

Lessons Learned – The One That Got Away

Our experiences as investors teach us invaluable lessons about recognising and seizing high-quality investment opportunities.

High-quality companies can come in various forms, pattern recognition from our focus on these types of companies over many years reveal some common traits:

  1. Dominance in Their Niche: These companies carve out an advantage—be it product, cost, service, or technology—that sets them apart.
  2. Durable Demand: They can increase prices on current products, broaden share of wallet with new products, improve cost profiles, and scale efficiently.
  3. Sustained High Returns: Their returns are higher than most and stay that way longer than expected, we call this Enduring Quality – a key source of advantage for our process and strategy.
  4. Strong Leadership: Often led by founders or long-term executives who drive the company’s cultural aims.

Hear more from our Mid Cap Portfolio Manager, Tim Riordan, as he reflects on his past experience managing portfolios and key takeaways.

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Article

29 Jul 2024

3 Insights in 3 Minutes

Our Portfolio Manager and Partner Ray David discusses recent market events below. He explores:

1: The Australian Market

– The ASX200 is up significantly over the last 12 months.
-Technology has been the best-performing sector, mirroring the performance of US equity markets.
– Cyclical sectors, such as commodities, have underperformed.
– The three best-performing stocks for the ASX100 were Pro Medicus (PME) +119%, Altium (ALU) +86%, and Goodman Group (GMG) +75%.
– The worst performers were lithium stocks, with the bottom three being IGO, Liontown Resources (LTR), and Arcadium.

2: Why Investors Are Excited by Technology Stocks

– Artificial intelligence (AI) has been a strong thematic driving a new investment cycle.
– Most gains in ASX tech stocks have been due to PE re-rating, except for Goodman Group, which has seen earnings expectations increase by 210% since 2019.
– Goodman Group has positioned itself well by converting industrial property sites into ready sites for data centers, realizing significant gains.

3: What Else Is Driving Markets?

– Banks have been strong performers, increasing by 30% over 12 months, surprising many investors.
– The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) has re-rated to over 22x EPS, making it the most expensive bank in the world with a flat earnings profile.

Article

24 Jul 2024

Are Lottery Stocks A Jackpot Or A Bust?

Our Blackwattle Investment Partners Portfolio Manager and Partner Joseph Koh, shares his views on the current pressure on household budgets due to increasing living costs and possible rate hike in the upcoming months.
Key Points:
– Joe suggests caution over the next 6 to 12 months due to possible rate hikes.
– Aristocrat (ASX: ALL) and Light and Wonder (ASX: LNW) are noted for their successful gaming stocks and anticipated growth.
– Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) might face challenges due to digital banking trend.
– Transurban (ASX: TCL) continues to present an interesting investment despite potential regulatory risks.

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Article

15 Jul 2024

Hilton Worldwide – Revenue royalty business

“The best business is a royalty on the growth of others, requiring little capital itself.” – Warren Buffett

Our Global Portfolio Manager Sunny Bangia Livewire article discusses Hilton Worldwide business structure, profitability and resilient business model.

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Article

1 Jul 2024

Blackwattle Investor Webinar: 1 July 2024

Hear directly from our Blackwattle Chief Executive Officer, Jarred Rubin and our lead Portfolio Managers providing an update on Blackwattle, thoughts on the market and portfolio overview.

Article

27 Jun 2024

Investing In Lithium Is Hard

The Blackwattle Small-Caps team explores 3 ‘real’ businesses that are primed to benefit from the electrification of Australia.

For investors looking for exposure to the global decarbonisation opportunity, there have been few more volatile experiences than investing in the mining of battery minerals. Lithium, graphite and the rare earth investments have been the cause of many sleepless nights.

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